Sunday 12 March 2017, 21:45
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
80%
13%
7%
Home win
80.1%
Draw
13.2%
Away win
6.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.2% | 7.60 | — | — |
| Real Betis | 6.8% | 14.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.8% | 8.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Real Betis | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Betis | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
6.1
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.8
|
8.3
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.4
|
8.0
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.5
|
5.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.3
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Real Betis
1-1
Real Madrid
Jan 2026
Real Madrid
5-1
Real Betis
Mar 2025
Real Betis
2-1
Real Madrid
Sep 2024
Real Madrid
2-0
Real Betis
May 2024
Real Madrid
0-0
Real Betis
Dec 2023
Real Betis
1-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.