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Friday 3 March 2017, 21:45 Benito Villamarín Full time
30% 28% 42%
Home win
30.4%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
41.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 30.4% 3.29
Draw 27.9% 3.58
Real Sociedad 41.7% 2.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.5% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.5% 11.73
Over 1.5 73.1% 1.37
Under 1.5 26.9% 3.72
Over 2.5 47.0% 2.13
Under 2.5 53.0% 1.89
Over 3.5 25.4% 3.93
Under 3.5 74.6% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.6% 8.60
Under 4.5 88.4% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.4% 1.91
No 47.6% 2.10

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 58.3% 1.72
Real Betis / Real Sociedad 72.1% 1.39
Draw / Real Sociedad 69.6% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.5
10.1
7.6
3.5
1.2
0.3
1
8.2
13.3
8.8
4.1
1.4
0.4
2
5.2
7.3
5.1
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
2.0
2.8
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.6
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.