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Saturday 1 April 2017, 19:30 Anoeta Full time
58% 26% 16%
Home win
58.1%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
16.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 58.1% 1.72
Draw 25.8% 3.88
Leganes 16.1% 6.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.12
Over 1.5 69.5% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.5% 3.28
Over 2.5 42.6% 2.35
Under 2.5 57.4% 1.74
Over 3.5 21.8% 4.59
Under 3.5 78.2% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.4% 10.64
Under 4.5 90.6% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.0% 2.32
No 57.0% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 83.9% 1.19
Real Sociedad / Leganes 74.2% 1.35
Draw / Leganes 41.9% 2.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
6.2
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
14.4
11.9
4.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.4
9.2
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
6.8
5.0
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.8
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.