Saturday 1 September 2018, 21:45
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
81%
13%
6%
Home win
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Away win
6.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.5% | 7.97 | — | — |
| Leganes | 6.1% | 16.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.9% | 34.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.7% | 8.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 93.9% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Leganes | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 18.7% | 5.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.9
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
5.9
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
8.1
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.8
|
7.9
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.9
|
5.8
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.6
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Real Madrid
3-2
Leganes
Nov 2024
Leganes
0-3
Real Madrid
Jul 2020
Leganes
2-2
Real Madrid
Oct 2019
Real Madrid
5-0
Leganes
Apr 2019
Leganes
1-1
Real Madrid
Apr 2018
Real Madrid
2-1
Leganes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.