Sunday 19 August 2018, 23:15
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
60%
23%
16%
Home win
60.5%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
16.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Getafe | 16.1% | 6.22 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.1% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.8% | 7.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Getafe | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Getafe | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
5.0
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
11.2
|
4.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
9.8
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
6.1
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Real Madrid
0-1
Getafe
Oct 2025
Getafe
0-1
Real Madrid
Apr 2025
Getafe
0-1
Real Madrid
Dec 2024
Real Madrid
2-0
Getafe
Feb 2024
Getafe
0-2
Real Madrid
Sep 2023
Real Madrid
2-1
Getafe
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.