Wednesday 9 May 2018, 22:30
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
24%
21%
55%
Home win
23.7%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
55.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.9% | 4.78 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.9% | 34.53 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.9% | 9.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| No | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Real Madrid | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.9
|
5.0
|
6.2
|
4.7
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
3.0
|
8.5
|
9.0
|
6.8
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
5.8
|
6.6
|
5.0
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.8
|
3.2
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
1.0
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Sevilla
0-1
Real Madrid
Dec 2025
Real Madrid
2-0
Sevilla
May 2025
Sevilla
0-2
Real Madrid
Dec 2024
Real Madrid
4-2
Sevilla
Feb 2024
Real Madrid
1-0
Sevilla
Oct 2023
Sevilla
1-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.