Saturday 14 April 2018, 14:00
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
40%
28%
33%
Home win
39.6%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
32.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.8% | 7.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Villarreal | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
8.2
|
5.5
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
13.1
|
7.7
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
8.6
|
5.4
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
4.0
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Villarreal
2-3
Sevilla
Sep 2025
Sevilla
1-2
Villarreal
May 2025
Villarreal
4-2
Sevilla
Aug 2024
Sevilla
1-2
Villarreal
May 2024
Villarreal
3-2
Sevilla
Dec 2023
Sevilla
1-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.