Monday 9 April 2018, 22:00
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
49%
30%
21%
Home win
48.6%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
21.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Athletic Club | 21.3% | 4.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.1% | 7.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.9% | 6.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.1% | 16.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Athletic Club | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Athletic Club | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.1
|
8.8
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.5
|
13.4
|
4.9
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
8.3
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Athletic Club
1-2
Villarreal
Sep 2025
Villarreal
1-0
Athletic Club
Apr 2025
Villarreal
0-0
Athletic Club
Dec 2024
Athletic Club
2-0
Villarreal
Apr 2024
Athletic Club
1-1
Villarreal
Nov 2023
Villarreal
2-3
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.