Sunday 11 March 2018, 21:45
San Mamés
Full time
51%
30%
19%
Home win
51.4%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
18.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Leganes | 18.5% | 5.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.4% | 6.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.3% | 18.80 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| No | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Leganes | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.2
|
8.5
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.1
|
12.9
|
4.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.8
|
8.0
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.2
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Athletic Club
0-0
Leganes
Sep 2024
Leganes
0-2
Athletic Club
Jul 2020
Athletic Club
0-2
Leganes
Sep 2019
Leganes
1-1
Athletic Club
Apr 2019
Leganes
0-1
Athletic Club
Aug 2018
Athletic Club
2-1
Leganes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.