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Friday 16 February 2018, 22:00 Estadi Montilivi Full time
3–0
HT 2–0
53% 28% 19%
Home win
53.0%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
19.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona 53.0% 1.89
Draw 27.7% 3.61
Leganes 19.3% 5.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.27
Over 1.5 67.6% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.4% 3.08
Over 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Under 2.5 59.7% 1.67
Over 3.5 20.0% 5.00
Under 3.5 80.0% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.00
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.5% 2.30
No 56.5% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona / Draw 80.7% 1.24
Girona / Leganes 72.3% 1.38
Draw / Leganes 47.0% 2.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
7.3
3.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
14.3
12.8
4.8
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
11.3
9.0
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
5.6
4.5
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Girona goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.