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Monday 20 August 2018, 23:00 San Mamés Full time
51% 30% 20%
Home win
50.7%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
19.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 50.7% 1.97
Draw 29.6% 3.38
Leganes 19.6% 5.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.1% 7.64
Over 1.5 62.5% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.5% 2.67
Over 2.5 34.8% 2.87
Under 2.5 65.2% 1.53
Over 3.5 16.0% 6.26
Under 3.5 84.0% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.1% 16.33
Under 4.5 93.9% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.4% 2.54
No 60.6% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 80.4% 1.24
Athletic Club / Leganes 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Leganes 49.3% 2.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.1
8.4
3.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
16.0
13.1
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.3
8.3
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
5.1
3.8
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.