Sunday 20 May 2018, 17:15
San Mamés
Full time
44%
31%
25%
Home win
43.9%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
24.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 24.8% | 4.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.8% | 7.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.0% | 6.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.6% | 17.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Espanyol | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.8
|
10.1
|
4.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.9
|
13.9
|
5.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
7.9
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Espanyol
2-0
Athletic Club
Dec 2025
Athletic Club
1-2
Espanyol
Feb 2025
Espanyol
1-1
Athletic Club
Oct 2024
Athletic Club
4-1
Espanyol
Apr 2023
Espanyol
1-2
Athletic Club
Sep 2022
Athletic Club
0-1
Espanyol
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.