Sunday 6 May 2018, 17:15
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
67%
25%
9%
Home win
66.8%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
8.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 8.5% | 11.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.8% | 7.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.6% | 6.85 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.4% | 18.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 27.4% | 3.64 | — | — |
| No | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Espanyol | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.8
|
4.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
20.8
|
9.3
|
1.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
17.2
|
7.0
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.2
|
3.8
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Atletico Madrid
4-2
Espanyol
Aug 2025
Espanyol
2-1
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2025
Espanyol
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Aug 2024
Atletico Madrid
0-0
Espanyol
May 2023
Espanyol
3-3
Atletico Madrid
Nov 2022
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Espanyol
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.