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Sunday 22 April 2018, 21:45 Estadio Wanda Metropolitano Full time
74% 18% 8%
Home win
74.1%
Draw
18.0%
Away win
7.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atletico Madrid 74.1% 1.35
Draw 18.0% 5.56
Real Betis 7.9% 12.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.3% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.7% 15.03
Over 1.5 77.1% 1.30
Under 1.5 22.9% 4.37
Over 2.5 52.7% 1.90
Under 2.5 47.3% 2.11
Over 3.5 30.5% 3.28
Under 3.5 69.6% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.0% 6.67
Under 4.5 85.0% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.8% 2.52
No 60.2% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atletico Madrid / Draw 92.1% 1.09
Atletico Madrid / Real Betis 82.0% 1.22
Draw / Real Betis 25.9% 3.86

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.7
3.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
13.1
8.4
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
15.0
8.7
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
11.0
6.4
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
6.0
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atletico Madrid goals. Columns: Real Betis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.