Sunday 8 April 2018, 17:15
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
39%
28%
33%
Home win
39.3%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
32.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.4% | 11.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.9% | 8.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Atletico Madrid | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.4
|
8.5
|
5.6
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
13.3
|
7.7
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
8.5
|
5.2
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
3.9
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Real Madrid
3-2
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2025
Atletico Madrid
5-2
Real Madrid
Feb 2025
Real Madrid
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2024
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Real Madrid
Feb 2024
Real Madrid
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2023
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.