Sunday 11 March 2018, 17:15
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
75%
17%
8%
Home win
75.0%
Draw
17.4%
Away win
7.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.4% | 5.76 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 7.6% | 13.15 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.8% | 4.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.1% | 6.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Celta Vigo | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 25.0% | 4.01 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.6
|
8.2
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.8
|
8.7
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.2
|
6.6
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.3
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.9
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Atletico Madrid
0-1
Celta Vigo
Oct 2025
Celta Vigo
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Feb 2025
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Celta Vigo
Sep 2024
Celta Vigo
0-1
Atletico Madrid
May 2024
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Celta Vigo
Oct 2023
Celta Vigo
0-3
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.