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Tuesday 27 February 2018, 22:30 Estadi Montilivi Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
54% 22% 24%
Home win
53.7%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
23.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona 53.7% 1.86
Draw 22.4% 4.47
Celta Vigo 23.9% 4.18

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.0% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.0% 25.28
Over 1.5 85.7% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.3% 6.97
Over 2.5 65.7% 1.52
Under 2.5 34.3% 2.91
Over 3.5 43.8% 2.29
Under 3.5 56.2% 1.78
Over 4.5 25.2% 3.96
Under 4.5 74.8% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.6% 1.55
No 35.4% 2.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona / Draw 76.1% 1.31
Girona / Celta Vigo 77.6% 1.29
Draw / Celta Vigo 46.3% 2.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.0
4.0
3.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
6.4
9.8
6.1
2.7
0.9
0.2
2
7.2
9.5
6.3
2.8
0.9
0.2
3
4.9
6.5
4.3
1.9
0.6
0.2
4
2.5
3.4
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
5
1.0
1.4
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Girona goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.