Saturday 24 February 2018, 21:45
Camp Nou
Full time
78%
14%
8%
Home win
78.1%
Draw
14.3%
Away win
7.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.3% | 6.98 | — | — |
| Girona | 7.5% | 13.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.2% | 7.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| No | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Girona | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Girona | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.9
|
6.7
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
8.7
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.3
|
7.9
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.0
|
5.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.8
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Girona
2-1
Barcelona
Oct 2025
Barcelona
2-1
Girona
Mar 2025
Barcelona
4-1
Girona
Sep 2024
Girona
1-4
Barcelona
May 2024
Girona
4-2
Barcelona
Dec 2023
Barcelona
2-4
Girona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.