Sunday 28 January 2018, 21:45
Camp Nou
Full time
84%
12%
4%
Home win
84.1%
Draw
11.7%
Away win
4.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.7% | 8.55 | — | — |
| Alaves | 4.2% | 23.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.3% | 6.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| No | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Alaves | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 15.9% | 6.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
5.5
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.2
|
7.3
|
1.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
13.3
|
6.9
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.3
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.2
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Alaves
1-0
Barcelona
Nov 2025
Barcelona
3-1
Alaves
Feb 2025
Barcelona
1-0
Alaves
Oct 2024
Alaves
0-3
Barcelona
Feb 2024
Alaves
1-3
Barcelona
Nov 2023
Barcelona
2-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.