Saturday 23 December 2017, 14:00
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
36%
24%
40%
Home win
36.2%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
39.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 25.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.3% | 7.01 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| No | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Barcelona | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
5.3
|
5.1
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
10.3
|
8.4
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.6
|
8.0
|
6.9
|
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
4.4
|
3.8
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.8
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Barcelona
2-0
Real Madrid
Oct 2025
Real Madrid
2-1
Barcelona
May 2025
Barcelona
4-3
Real Madrid
Oct 2024
Real Madrid
0-4
Barcelona
Apr 2024
Real Madrid
3-2
Barcelona
Oct 2023
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.