Saturday 2 December 2017, 21:45
San Mamés
Full time
24%
25%
51%
Home win
24.4%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
50.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.1% | 4.73 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Real Madrid | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
9.1
|
8.5
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
5.8
|
11.8
|
9.7
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
3.7
|
6.4
|
5.5
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.4
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Real Madrid
4-2
Athletic Club
Dec 2025
Athletic Club
0-3
Real Madrid
Apr 2025
Real Madrid
1-0
Athletic Club
Dec 2024
Athletic Club
2-1
Real Madrid
Mar 2024
Real Madrid
2-0
Athletic Club
Aug 2023
Athletic Club
0-2
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.