Sunday 22 October 2017, 21:45
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
78%
14%
8%
Home win
77.6%
Draw
14.2%
Away win
8.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.2% | 7.03 | — | — |
| Eibar | 8.2% | 12.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.9% | 34.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.6% | 8.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.1% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.9% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Eibar | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 22.4% | 4.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.9
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.8
|
6.5
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.1
|
8.6
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.5
|
8.1
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.7
|
5.7
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.8
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Real Madrid
2-0
Eibar
Dec 2020
Eibar
1-3
Real Madrid
Jun 2020
Real Madrid
3-1
Eibar
Nov 2019
Eibar
0-4
Real Madrid
Apr 2019
Real Madrid
2-1
Eibar
Nov 2018
Eibar
3-0
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.