Sunday 1 October 2017, 19:30
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
55%
26%
19%
Home win
55.1%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
18.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Eibar | 18.7% | 5.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.3% | 10.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.3% | 9.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Eibar | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.3
|
6.5
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.2
|
12.3
|
4.9
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
9.4
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.0
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Eibar
1-3
Villarreal
Sep 2020
Villarreal
2-1
Eibar
Jul 2020
Villarreal
4-0
Eibar
Oct 2019
Eibar
2-1
Villarreal
May 2019
Villarreal
1-0
Eibar
Jan 2019
Eibar
0-0
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.