Thursday 21 September 2017, 21:00
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
56%
27%
17%
Home win
55.9%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
17.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 17.1% | 5.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.0% | 9.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.5% | 5.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.0% | 12.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| No | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Espanyol | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.0
|
6.9
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.2
|
12.3
|
4.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
8.9
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Villarreal
4-1
Espanyol
Nov 2025
Espanyol
0-2
Villarreal
Apr 2025
Villarreal
1-0
Espanyol
Sep 2024
Espanyol
1-2
Villarreal
Apr 2023
Villarreal
4-2
Espanyol
Nov 2022
Espanyol
0-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.