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Monday 18 September 2017, 22:00 RCDE Stadium Full time
50% 25% 24%
Home win
50.2%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
24.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 50.2% 1.99
Draw 25.3% 3.95
Celta Vigo 24.5% 4.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.4% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.6% 15.18
Over 1.5 78.1% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.9% 4.56
Over 2.5 53.7% 1.86
Under 2.5 46.3% 2.16
Over 3.5 31.5% 3.18
Under 3.5 68.5% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.7% 6.37
Under 4.5 84.3% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.9% 1.79
No 44.1% 2.27

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 75.5% 1.32
Espanyol / Celta Vigo 74.7% 1.34
Draw / Celta Vigo 49.8% 2.01

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.6
6.0
3.7
1.4
0.4
0.1
1
9.4
12.0
6.4
2.4
0.7
0.2
2
8.6
9.6
5.4
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
4.9
5.5
3.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
2.1
2.3
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.