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Friday 25 August 2017, 23:00 Benito Villamarín Full time
42% 26% 32%
Home win
42.1%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
32.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 42.1% 2.38
Draw 25.9% 3.86
Celta Vigo 32.0% 3.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.29
Over 1.5 79.4% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.6% 4.85
Over 2.5 55.6% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.4% 2.25
Over 3.5 33.3% 3.01
Under 3.5 66.7% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.0% 5.89
Under 4.5 83.0% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.2% 1.69
No 40.8% 2.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 68.0% 1.47
Real Betis / Celta Vigo 74.1% 1.35
Draw / Celta Vigo 57.9% 1.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
6.6
4.9
2.2
0.7
0.2
1
7.9
12.2
7.7
3.4
1.2
0.3
2
6.7
9.0
6.0
2.7
0.9
0.2
3
3.5
4.7
3.2
1.4
0.5
0.1
4
1.4
1.8
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.