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Sunday 14 May 2017, 21:00 Benito Villamarín Full time
14% 25% 62%
Home win
13.5%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
61.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 13.5% 7.40
Draw 24.8% 4.04
Atletico Madrid 61.7% 1.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.87
Over 1.5 68.8% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.2% 3.20
Over 2.5 41.8% 2.39
Under 2.5 58.2% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.2% 4.72
Under 3.5 78.8% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.0% 11.09
Under 4.5 91.0% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.1% 2.50
No 59.9% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 38.3% 2.61
Real Betis / Atletico Madrid 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Atletico Madrid 86.5% 1.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
15.5
13.6
7.7
3.3
1.1
1
5.6
11.3
9.0
5.1
2.2
0.7
2
2.1
3.5
3.0
1.7
0.7
0.2
3
0.5
0.8
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Atletico Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.