Sunday 14 May 2017, 17:00
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
47%
28%
24%
Home win
47.3%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
24.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 9.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Alaves / Celta Vigo | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
8.1
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.5
|
13.3
|
6.0
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.0
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Celta Vigo
3-4
Alaves
Nov 2025
Alaves
0-1
Celta Vigo
Jan 2025
Alaves
1-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2024
Celta Vigo
2-1
Alaves
Apr 2024
Alaves
3-0
Celta Vigo
Sep 2023
Celta Vigo
1-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.