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Sunday 30 April 2017, 21:45 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
35% 28% 37%
Home win
35.4%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
37.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 35.4% 2.83
Draw 27.6% 3.62
Athletic Club 37.0% 2.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.9% 12.70
Over 1.5 74.8% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.2% 3.97
Over 2.5 49.2% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.8% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.3% 3.66
Under 3.5 72.7% 1.38
Over 4.5 12.8% 7.78
Under 4.5 87.2% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.5% 1.84
No 45.5% 2.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 63.0% 1.59
Celta Vigo / Athletic Club 72.4% 1.38
Draw / Athletic Club 64.6% 1.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.9
8.8
6.4
2.8
1.0
0.3
1
8.5
13.2
8.3
3.7
1.2
0.3
2
6.1
8.1
5.4
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
2.6
3.5
2.4
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.9
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.