Friday 7 April 2017, 21:45
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
48%
32%
20%
Home win
47.9%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
19.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Athletic Club | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.5% | 6.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.7% | 8.55 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.0% | 24.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | — |
| No | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Athletic Club | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Athletic Club | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.5
|
9.7
|
3.5
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.9
|
13.1
|
4.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
7.3
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Athletic Club
1-2
Villarreal
Sep 2025
Villarreal
1-0
Athletic Club
Apr 2025
Villarreal
0-0
Athletic Club
Dec 2024
Athletic Club
2-0
Villarreal
Apr 2024
Athletic Club
1-1
Villarreal
Nov 2023
Villarreal
2-3
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.