Saturday 4 March 2017, 19:30
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
51%
30%
19%
Home win
51.4%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
19.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 19.0% | 5.26 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.3% | 7.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.7% | 6.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.0% | 16.77 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| No | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Espanyol | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.3
|
8.3
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.3
|
13.0
|
4.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.6
|
8.3
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.2
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Villarreal
4-1
Espanyol
Nov 2025
Espanyol
0-2
Villarreal
Apr 2025
Villarreal
1-0
Espanyol
Sep 2024
Espanyol
1-2
Villarreal
Apr 2023
Villarreal
4-2
Espanyol
Nov 2022
Espanyol
0-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.