Sunday 12 March 2017, 19:30
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
26%
28%
46%
Home win
26.0%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
45.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.6% | 10.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.8% | 4.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.0% | 10.04 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Villarreal | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.6
|
11.8
|
8.9
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.1
|
13.4
|
9.0
|
4.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
4.5
|
6.4
|
4.5
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
2.1
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Villarreal
2-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2025
Celta Vigo
1-1
Villarreal
Apr 2025
Celta Vigo
3-0
Villarreal
Aug 2024
Villarreal
4-3
Celta Vigo
May 2024
Celta Vigo
3-2
Villarreal
Dec 2023
Villarreal
3-2
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.