Sunday 12 February 2017, 21:45
Vicente Calderón
Full time
64%
21%
14%
Home win
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
14.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.4% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 14.3% | 6.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.0% | 16.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.6% | 4.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.2% | 5.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Celta Vigo | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.0
|
4.1
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
10.2
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.4
|
9.9
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.8
|
6.7
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
3.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Atletico Madrid
0-1
Celta Vigo
Oct 2025
Celta Vigo
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Feb 2025
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Celta Vigo
Sep 2024
Celta Vigo
0-1
Atletico Madrid
May 2024
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Celta Vigo
Oct 2023
Celta Vigo
0-3
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.