Sunday 15 January 2017, 17:15
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
40%
29%
31%
Home win
40.2%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
30.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Alaves | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.2% | 9.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.9% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.3% | 4.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.1% | 10.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Alaves | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.2
|
9.4
|
5.5
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
13.8
|
7.1
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
8.3
|
4.5
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
3.6
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Celta Vigo
3-4
Alaves
Nov 2025
Alaves
0-1
Celta Vigo
Jan 2025
Alaves
1-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2024
Celta Vigo
2-1
Alaves
Apr 2024
Alaves
3-0
Celta Vigo
Sep 2023
Celta Vigo
1-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.