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Sunday 19 February 2017, 19:30 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
65% 19% 17%
Home win
64.7%
Draw
18.7%
Away win
16.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 64.7% 1.54
Draw 18.7% 5.36
Osasuna 16.6% 6.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.2% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.8% 35.32
Over 1.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.9% 9.20
Over 2.5 72.0% 1.39
Under 2.5 28.0% 3.58
Over 3.5 51.3% 1.95
Under 3.5 48.7% 2.05
Over 4.5 31.9% 3.13
Under 4.5 68.1% 1.47

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.4% 1.53
No 34.6% 2.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 83.4% 1.20
Celta Vigo / Osasuna 81.3% 1.23
Draw / Osasuna 35.3% 2.84

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.8
2.5
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.1
1
5.5
7.8
4.5
1.9
0.6
0.1
2
7.5
9.2
5.7
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
6.3
7.7
4.7
1.9
0.6
0.1
4
3.9
4.8
3.0
1.2
0.4
0.1
5
2.0
2.4
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Osasuna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.