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Sunday 22 January 2017, 13:00 Estadio El Sadar Full time
3–4
HT 1–1
14% 18% 68%
Home win
13.7%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
68.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna 13.7% 7.30
Draw 18.1% 5.51
Sevilla 68.2% 1.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.6% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.4% 29.49
Over 1.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.8% 7.80
Over 2.5 68.4% 1.46
Under 2.5 31.6% 3.17
Over 3.5 47.0% 2.13
Under 3.5 53.0% 1.89
Over 4.5 28.0% 3.57
Under 4.5 72.0% 1.39

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.0% 1.67
No 40.0% 2.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna / Draw 31.8% 3.14
Osasuna / Sevilla 81.9% 1.22
Draw / Sevilla 86.3% 1.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.4
6.8
9.0
7.5
4.6
2.3
1
2.6
8.1
9.5
7.8
4.8
2.4
2
1.6
4.0
5.0
4.1
2.5
1.3
3
0.6
1.4
1.7
1.4
0.9
0.4
4
0.1
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Osasuna goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.