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Saturday 7 January 2017, 21:45 Anoeta Full time
44% 23% 33%
Home win
44.3%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
32.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 44.3% 2.26
Draw 23.1% 4.33
Sevilla 32.6% 3.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.5% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.5% 28.30
Over 1.5 87.1% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.9% 7.74
Over 2.5 68.1% 1.47
Under 2.5 31.9% 3.14
Over 3.5 46.6% 2.15
Under 3.5 53.4% 1.87
Over 4.5 27.7% 3.61
Under 4.5 72.3% 1.38

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 68.6% 1.46
No 31.4% 3.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 67.4% 1.48
Real Sociedad / Sevilla 76.9% 1.30
Draw / Sevilla 55.8% 1.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.5
4.3
3.9
2.1
0.8
0.3
1
5.1
9.7
7.4
4.0
1.6
0.5
2
5.4
8.7
7.0
3.8
1.5
0.5
3
3.4
5.5
4.4
2.4
1.0
0.3
4
1.6
2.6
2.1
1.1
0.5
0.1
5
0.6
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.