Skip to content
Sunday 20 November 2016, 19:30 El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini Full time
14% 21% 65%
Home win
14.5%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
64.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon 14.5% 6.91
Draw 20.7% 4.83
Real Sociedad 64.8% 1.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.96
Over 1.5 81.4% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.6% 5.38
Over 2.5 58.9% 1.70
Under 2.5 41.1% 2.43
Over 3.5 36.5% 2.74
Under 3.5 63.5% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.4% 5.16
Under 4.5 80.6% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.5% 1.87
No 46.5% 2.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon / Draw 35.2% 2.84
Sporting Gijon / Real Sociedad 79.3% 1.26
Draw / Real Sociedad 85.5% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
9.5
10.8
7.7
4.1
1.8
1
3.8
9.8
9.9
7.0
3.8
1.6
2
2.0
4.2
4.5
3.2
1.7
0.7
3
0.6
1.3
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sporting Gijon goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.