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Monday 10 April 2017, 21:45 Anoeta Full time
64% 21% 15%
Home win
63.8%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
15.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 63.8% 1.57
Draw 21.1% 4.74
Sporting Gijon 15.1% 6.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.68
Over 1.5 81.2% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.8% 5.33
Over 2.5 58.5% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.5% 2.41
Over 3.5 36.2% 2.77
Under 3.5 63.9% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.1% 5.23
Under 4.5 80.9% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.8% 1.86
No 46.2% 2.17

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 84.9% 1.18
Real Sociedad / Sporting Gijon 78.9% 1.27
Draw / Sporting Gijon 36.2% 2.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
3.9
2.1
0.6
0.2
0.0
1
9.5
10.0
4.4
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
10.6
9.9
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
7.5
7.0
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
3.9
3.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.7
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Sporting Gijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.