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Saturday 22 October 2016, 21:45 Nuevo Los Cármenes Full time
43% 21% 36%
Home win
42.5%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
36.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF 42.5% 2.35
Draw 21.5% 4.65
Sporting Gijon 36.0% 2.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.7% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.3% 44.23
Over 1.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 1.5 8.7% 11.51
Over 2.5 76.3% 1.31
Under 2.5 23.7% 4.21
Over 3.5 56.7% 1.76
Under 3.5 43.3% 2.31
Over 4.5 37.2% 2.69
Under 4.5 62.8% 1.59

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 75.2% 1.33
No 24.8% 4.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF / Draw 64.0% 1.56
Granada CF / Sporting Gijon 78.5% 1.27
Draw / Sporting Gijon 57.5% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.3
3.1
3.3
2.1
1.0
0.4
1
3.4
7.7
7.0
4.5
2.1
0.8
2
4.0
7.6
7.3
4.7
2.2
0.9
3
2.8
5.3
5.1
3.2
1.6
0.6
4
1.4
2.8
2.7
1.7
0.8
0.3
5
0.6
1.2
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
Rows: Granada CF goals. Columns: Sporting Gijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.