Monday 26 September 2016, 21:45
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
64%
21%
15%
Home win
64.5%
Draw
20.6%
Away win
14.9%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.6% | 4.86 | — | — |
| Granada CF | 14.9% | 6.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.6% | 4.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Alaves / Granada CF | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Granada CF | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
3.7
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.0
|
9.7
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.3
|
9.9
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.5
|
7.1
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.1
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2024
Granada CF
2-0
Alaves
Nov 2023
Alaves
3-1
Granada CF
Mar 2022
Alaves
2-3
Granada CF
Dec 2021
Granada CF
2-1
Alaves
May 2021
Alaves
4-2
Granada CF
Sep 2020
Granada CF
2-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.