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Wednesday 21 September 2016, 23:00 Nuevo Los Cármenes Full time
Granada CF
1–2
HT 1–1
Athletic Club
23% 20% 57%
Home win
22.6%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
57.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF 22.6% 4.42 — —
Draw 20.3% 4.93 — —
Athletic Club 57.1% 1.75 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.3% 1.03 — —
Under 0.5 2.7% 37.72 — —
Over 1.5 89.9% 1.11 — —
Under 1.5 10.1% 9.87 — —
Over 2.5 73.4% 1.36 — —
Under 2.5 26.6% 3.76 — —
Over 3.5 53.0% 1.89 — —
Under 3.5 47.0% 2.13 — —
Over 4.5 33.6% 2.98 — —
Under 4.5 66.4% 1.51 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 70.0% 1.43 — —
No 30.0% 3.33 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF / Draw 42.9% 2.33 — —
Granada CF / Athletic Club 79.7% 1.25 — —
Draw / Athletic Club 77.4% 1.29 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.7
4.7
6.1
4.8
2.8
1.3
1
2.8
8.0
8.9
7.0
4.1
2.0
2
2.3
5.5
6.5
5.1
3.0
1.4
3
1.1
2.7
3.2
2.5
1.5
0.7
4
0.4
1.0
1.2
0.9
0.5
0.3
5
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
Rows: Granada CF goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Granada CF
D L L D
Athletic Club
L L W W

Head to head

Apr 2024 Athletic Club 1-1 Granada CF Dec 2023 Granada CF 1-1 Athletic Club May 2022 Granada CF 1-0 Athletic Club Nov 2021 Athletic Club 2-2 Granada CF Mar 2021 Athletic Club 2-1 Granada CF Sep 2020 Granada CF 2-0 Athletic Club

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.