Sunday 16 October 2016, 17:15
San Mamés
Full time
41%
30%
29%
Home win
41.3%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
29.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.7% | 9.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.5% | 11.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Real Sociedad | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.7
|
9.5
|
5.3
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
13.9
|
6.7
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.1
|
8.4
|
4.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
3.6
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Athletic Club
1-1
Real Sociedad
Nov 2025
Real Sociedad
3-2
Athletic Club
May 2025
Real Sociedad
0-0
Athletic Club
Nov 2024
Athletic Club
1-0
Real Sociedad
Jan 2024
Athletic Club
2-1
Real Sociedad
Sep 2023
Real Sociedad
3-0
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.