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Sunday 18 September 2016, 19:30 Estadio de la Cerámica Full time
Villarreal
2–1
HT 2–1
Real Sociedad
38% 28% 34%
Home win
38.5%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
33.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal 38.5% 2.60 — —
Draw 27.8% 3.60 — —
Real Sociedad 33.8% 2.96 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09 — —
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.33 — —
Over 1.5 74.2% 1.35 — —
Under 1.5 25.8% 3.87 — —
Over 2.5 48.4% 2.07 — —
Under 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Over 3.5 26.6% 3.76 — —
Under 3.5 73.4% 1.36 — —
Over 4.5 12.4% 8.07 — —
Under 4.5 87.6% 1.14 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.8% 1.86 — —
No 46.2% 2.16 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal / Draw 66.2% 1.51 — —
Villarreal / Real Sociedad 72.2% 1.39 — —
Draw / Real Sociedad 61.6% 1.62 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
8.5
5.8
2.4
0.8
0.2
1
9.2
13.3
7.8
3.3
1.0
0.3
2
6.8
8.5
5.3
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
3.1
3.8
2.4
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.0
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Villarreal goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Villarreal
D D W
Real Sociedad
L W D

Head to head

Mar 2026 Villarreal 3-1 Real Sociedad Nov 2025 Real Sociedad 2-3 Villarreal Apr 2025 Villarreal 2-2 Real Sociedad Jan 2025 Real Sociedad 1-0 Villarreal Feb 2024 Real Sociedad 1-3 Villarreal Dec 2023 Villarreal 0-3 Real Sociedad

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.