Sunday 28 August 2016, 23:15
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
81%
10%
9%
Home win
80.6%
Draw
10.4%
Away win
9.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.4% | 9.62 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 9.0% | 11.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.5% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.5% | 184.50 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 97.6% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.4% | 40.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 91.3% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 8.7% | 11.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 19.9% | 5.03 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| No | 23.4% | 4.26 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Sevilla | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
1.5
|
2.6
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
3.2
|
4.8
|
3.6
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
6.5
|
4.9
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
4.3
|
6.5
|
4.9
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
3.5
|
5.3
|
4.0
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Villarreal
2-3
Sevilla
Sep 2025
Sevilla
1-2
Villarreal
May 2025
Villarreal
4-2
Sevilla
Aug 2024
Sevilla
1-2
Villarreal
May 2024
Villarreal
3-2
Sevilla
Dec 2023
Sevilla
1-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.