Skip to content
Wednesday 21 September 2016, 23:00 Anoeta Full time
27% 26% 48%
Home win
26.8%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
47.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 26.8% 3.72
Draw 25.6% 3.90
Las Palmas 47.5% 2.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.6% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.4% 15.55
Over 1.5 78.5% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.5% 4.66
Over 2.5 54.4% 1.84
Under 2.5 45.6% 2.19
Over 3.5 32.1% 3.12
Under 3.5 67.9% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.1% 6.20
Under 4.5 83.9% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.2% 1.75
No 42.8% 2.34

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 52.5% 1.91
Real Sociedad / Las Palmas 74.4% 1.34
Draw / Las Palmas 73.2% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.4
8.9
7.9
4.4
1.8
0.6
1
6.2
12.1
9.5
5.2
2.2
0.7
2
4.1
6.8
5.7
3.1
1.3
0.4
3
1.6
2.7
2.3
1.3
0.5
0.2
4
0.5
0.8
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Las Palmas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.