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Saturday 10 September 2016, 19:15 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
2–1
HT 0–1
2% 3% 95%
Home win
2.5%
Draw
2.9%
Away win
94.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 2.5% 40.16
Draw 2.9% 34.57
Las Palmas 94.6% 1.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.0% 14,285.71
Over 1.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 1.5 0.0% 3,125.00
Over 2.5 99.8% 1.00
Under 2.5 0.2% 485.44
Over 3.5 99.2% 1.01
Under 3.5 0.8% 123.30
Over 4.5 97.6% 1.02
Under 4.5 2.4% 41.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 90.6% 1.10
No 9.4% 10.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 5.4% 18.58
Sevilla / Las Palmas 97.1% 1.03
Draw / Las Palmas 97.5% 1.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.6
1.0
1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.7
1.4
2.3
2
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.8
1.7
2.7
3
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.6
1.3
2.2
4
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.4
0.8
1.3
5
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.6
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Las Palmas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.