Saturday 5 November 2016, 17:15
Anoeta
Full time
27%
27%
47%
Home win
26.5%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
46.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.8% | 12.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.2% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.9% | 7.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad / Draw | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad / Atletico Madrid | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.8
|
10.2
|
8.4
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
12.8
|
9.3
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.3
|
6.7
|
5.1
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
2.5
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Atletico Madrid
3-2
Real Sociedad
Jan 2026
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico Madrid
May 2025
Atletico Madrid
4-0
Real Sociedad
Oct 2024
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico Madrid
May 2024
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico Madrid
Oct 2023
Atletico Madrid
2-1
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.