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Saturday 3 December 2016, 14:00 Nuevo Los Cármenes Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
16% 20% 64%
Home win
16.4%
Draw
19.7%
Away win
63.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF 16.4% 6.09
Draw 19.7% 5.08
Sevilla 63.9% 1.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.3% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.7% 27.39
Over 1.5 86.4% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.6% 7.37
Over 2.5 67.1% 1.49
Under 2.5 32.9% 3.04
Over 3.5 45.4% 2.20
Under 3.5 54.6% 1.83
Over 4.5 26.6% 3.76
Under 4.5 73.4% 1.36

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.4% 1.63
No 38.6% 2.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF / Draw 36.1% 2.77
Granada CF / Sevilla 80.3% 1.25
Draw / Sevilla 83.6% 1.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.7
6.9
8.6
6.7
3.9
1.8
1
3.0
8.8
9.6
7.5
4.4
2.0
2
2.0
4.6
5.4
4.2
2.5
1.1
3
0.7
1.7
2.0
1.6
0.9
0.4
4
0.2
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.3
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Granada CF goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.