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Sunday 20 November 2016, 17:15 Mestalla Full time
61% 20% 19%
Home win
60.8%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
19.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valencia 60.8% 1.65
Draw 20.3% 4.93
Granada CF 19.0% 5.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.6% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.4% 29.39
Over 1.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.7% 7.88
Over 2.5 68.6% 1.46
Under 2.5 31.4% 3.19
Over 3.5 47.2% 2.12
Under 3.5 52.8% 1.89
Over 4.5 28.2% 3.55
Under 4.5 71.8% 1.39

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.4% 1.55
No 35.6% 2.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valencia / Draw 81.0% 1.23
Valencia / Granada CF 79.7% 1.25
Draw / Granada CF 39.2% 2.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.4
3.1
2.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
1
6.2
8.8
5.1
2.1
0.7
0.2
2
7.7
9.5
5.9
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
5.9
7.3
4.5
1.9
0.6
0.1
4
3.4
4.2
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
5
1.6
1.9
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.0
Rows: Valencia goals. Columns: Granada CF goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.